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Friday, January 2, 2009

Of Scientific And Tilted Polling Practices

This was posted on a message board that I frequent:

When asked how they feel about President-elect Barack Obama as commander in chief, six out of 10 active-duty service members say they are uncertain or pessimistic, according to a Military Times survey.

In follow-up interviews, respondents expressed concerns about Obama’s lack of military service and experience leading men and women in uniform.

“Being that the Marine Corps can be sent anywhere in the world with the snap of his fingers, nobody has confidence in this guy as commander in chief,” said one lance corporal who asked not to be identified.

For eight years, members of the U.S. military have served under a Republican commander in chief who reflected their generally conservative views and led them to war in Afghanistan and Iraq.

Now, the troops face change not only at the very top of the chain of command, as Obama nears his Jan. 20 inauguration, but perhaps in mission, policy and values.



The full article can be found here.

The problem with the poll was how it was conducted.

Although public opinion pollsters use random selection to survey the general public, the Military Times survey is based on responses from those who chose to participate. That means it is impossible to calculate statistical margins of error commonly reported in opinion surveys, because those calculations depend on random sampling techniques.
The voluntary nature of the survey, the dependence on e-mail and the characteristics of Military Times readers could affect the results.


That's like going to a 20 raves and asking how many people like electronic music and then randomly selecting people in Louisville, Kentucky and asking the same question.

Brandon Friedman at VetVoice.Com has more.

Look for this to be a major talking-point within the right-wing conservative realm within the next few weeks. They do love to use the military as a stick with which to beat people. This will be no exception.

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